Models
can be used to elucidate patterns within and amplify information in
datasets. Team members have experience building models based on inputs
from specialists in other speciality areas (e.g. tropical ecology
and coastal zone management) to perform spatial analysis and make
sense of raw data.
Case
Study: Predictive modeling with sparse data. Georeferenced
tree surveys and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) were combined to form
a spatial model using ArcView and SPSS. The loosely-coupled, unbiased,
spatial model combined well-founded components of GIS and multivariate
logistic regression and risk-reduction with the known ecology of a
Greenheart (chlorocardium rodiei). The output was a map of
the 3,700 sq. km study area predicting the most probable areas for
finding Greenheart - the major timber export and an endemic species
of Guyana. The results were tested against independent field survey
data and achieved a classification accuracy comparable to other landscape
analyses.
The study demonstrates the integration capability
of GIS and the potential of using spatial models for transforming
sparse datasets into information needed by planners and managers.